The Central Assumption Agency, and why Trump is Kim Jong Un’s patsy

The Central Assumption Agency, and why Trump is Kim Jong Un’s patsy

 – by William Mullen

September 3, 2017

High in the hills of New Hampshire

 

It’s a cold, rainy early September morning here in the hills of New Hampshire. 49 degrees. Fall is approaching rapidly. The reds and yellows of autumn are starting to appear everywhere in the forest. It seems the inevitable is near. . . the plunge into the darkness, and the difficulties, of another New England winter at 2000’.

Yes it’s a cold day today.

A cold day for the world in fact.

Today, North Korea tested a thermonuclear device – a hydrogen bomb.

Hydrogen bombs differ from atom bombs in many ways. Hydrogen bombs are much smaller, making them easier to mount on missiles. Hydrogen bombs are much more powerful than less advanced atom bombs. They have a scalable yield, producing explosions from ten to more than a hundred times that of the atom bombs dropped on Japan during the Second World War.

The world get chills as the peninsula heats up.

The North Koreans have said they already successfully tested a hydrogen device in 2016, but our intelligence – as well as others – refuted the claim stating that the North’s program is simply not that far advanced. It was of course, assumption. Like the assumption that Iraq was stockpiling “weapons of mass destruction” or the assumption that the program that became know as Iran/Contra – could be kept undercover and away from public scrutiny. “The Central Assumption Agency”.

Assumption, cruel and vicious.

The cruel and vicious truth is that we have no idea of the reality of the North Korean program “on the ground”. We can monitor from above via satellite, we can eavesdrop from the safety of our Naval ships . . . or aircraft . . . we can listen from the Earth monitoring stations of the US Geological Survey – but in the end it’s all guess-work . . . assumption. And that is where things break down. That is where the fog sets in. And perhaps nowhere more stymieing than on the Korean Peninsula. The Democratic People’s Republic of Korea has been on a war footing since June 25, 1950. It has dug in, built up, deployed, deceived, implemented, and institutionalized for war continually. It is a closed society, and that society is continuously, and totally monitored by big brother – the military. There is little truth to come out of North Korea. Little truth.

There is some truth however:

*They have prepared for war for nearing 70 years

*They now possess – at the least – atom bombs

*They possess an active and increasingly advanced missile program with     intercontinental capability

*Trump is Kim Jong Un’s Patsy

 

The Trump Administration – mainly – is playing right into the hands of Kim. All of the rhetoric and fist pumping by Trump has given the North Koreans a perfect opportunity to finish the job of developing it’s thermonuclear deterrent in front of the reddening eyes of the world. In all of the chaos – both at home and internationally – that the Trump Administration is sowing, it is giving Kim an unprecedented opportunity to test the will of the world – and the relationships the United States has, or can maintain with the rest of the world –  during these trying times. Just yesterday Trump announced a potential trade war with the South Koreans – perfect for Kim, as the military alliance between the South and the US is already stretched thin – with Moon Jae-In, South Korean President stating, he wants a more open approach to dealing with the North other than a militaristic – stick only, no carrot – approach.

And what better time to play your hand, than when your primary adversary is in chaos?

Christ – just socially – here in this country right now, we are teetering on some form of revolution ourselves.

So, Trump has been a gift for the embattled leader of the Hermit Kingdom – North Korea. A joker in the hand . . . Kim’s trump card if you will. But it’s how the next hand goes, who holds, who folds, who walks away, who bluffs . . .

In my opinion there is only one outcome however. Only one path that the world can withstand.

Normalization of international relations with North Korea.

Just like China in it’s early years, asserting itself on the world stage, launching it’s own “rogue” nuclear program, and forcing the world to take it seriously – as a nation. This is what The North ultimately desires, and will endure great cost and sacrifice – apparently – to achieve.

A war . . . a new Korean War . . . is unthinkable.

The human cost would be beyond what this world has bore witness to since the bombings of Dresden, or again, the Japanese cities of Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

There is just no other sane way forward here.

So instead of playing ourselves, and millions of innocent Koreans, Japanese, and Chinese –  into the hands of war . . . nuclear war – let’s take a step back and remember this game we play with the North Koreans . . . is not a card game . . . no, it’s more of a chess match and the next move ought to be a careful, and well thought-out move.

There are no assumptions with a well thought-out move – a wise carefully planned and played strategy . . .

~

Well, for now my fingers are cold and my coffee cup empty again. The rain is heavy, drumming on the roof, streaming over the windows. I must turn my attentions elsewhere for a while – hurricane Irma, The Grand Prix of Italy at Monza, and, where the hell am I getting firewood for winter . . . so quickly approaching.

 

I’ll just assume it’ll all be alright in the end.